VNKY Forecast

May futures tied to Nikkei Volatility Index expired today, settling at 26.65, slightly higher than futures level month ago, and higher than my forecast. June futures closed at 25.45 and my forecast is for the index to settle at 24.58. Despite increase in the volatility levels, VNKY did not break 30 barrier, and slight decline that the model suggests seems reasonable. Will resume regular blogging toward the end of May.
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